Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.199655 0.232255 0.268570 0.312038 0.362683 0.419863 0.489378
2025-02-16 0.148110 0.191190 0.244431 0.315154 0.406798 0.521767 0.677340
2025-02-23 0.119008 0.164985 0.226004 0.313092 0.434540 0.598440 0.837379
2025-03-02 0.097254 0.142839 0.206936 0.303905 0.447463 0.653084 0.971683
2025-03-09 0.086112 0.132977 0.202263 0.312543 0.484551 0.744077 1.168255
2025-03-16 0.075614 0.122084 0.193919 0.313548 0.509025 0.817994 1.347721
2025-03-23 0.068186 0.114656 0.189476 0.319339 0.540777 0.906019 1.560357
2025-03-30 0.059856 0.104461 0.179007 0.313402 0.551714 0.960504 1.723119
2025-04-06 0.053413 0.096513 0.171098 0.310428 0.566726 1.022843 1.906762
2025-04-13 0.048508 0.090570 0.165794 0.311120 0.587894 1.097916 2.122655
2025-04-20 0.046098 0.088823 0.167685 0.325048 0.634941 1.225505 2.454188
2025-04-27 0.043592 0.086544 0.168240 0.336354 0.678134 1.350668 2.797277
2025-05-04 0.040832 0.083519 0.167183 0.344724 0.717359 1.474512 3.158462
2025-05-11 0.037757 0.079491 0.163695 0.347790 0.746316 1.581700 3.500996
2025-05-18 0.034519 0.074700 0.158043 0.345515 0.763518 1.666217 3.805690
2025-05-25 0.030957 0.068766 0.149280 0.335359 0.762102 1.710227 4.025115
2025-06-01 0.029431 0.067096 0.149428 0.344908 0.805960 1.859728 4.509980
2025-06-08 0.027391 0.064010 0.146078 0.346019 0.830406 1.967922 4.911265
2025-06-15 0.025925 0.062068 0.145064 0.352421 0.868120 2.111722 5.420430
2025-06-22 0.023732 0.058135 0.138982 0.345857 0.873343 2.177870 5.741947
2025-06-29 0.021960 0.055013 0.134461 0.342570 0.886309 2.264694 6.129823
2025-07-06 0.020587 0.052718 0.131683 0.343334 0.909758 2.381000 6.613595
2025-07-13 0.020113 0.052653 0.134426 0.358732 0.973700 2.610669 7.443374